Al igual que en Siria el Estado Islámico se ha sumado en Iraq a la revolución que se ha levantado contra el régimen central pero no para derrocarlo, sino para instrumentalizar la lucha para lograr sus propios objetivos. La participación de sus tropas en la caída de Mosul el 9 de junio fue un elemento determinante pero a partir de ese momento se evidenciaron las divergencias estratégicas respecto a los grupos aglutinados en torno a los Consejos Militares de la Revolución. Mientras Al Bagdadi se centraba en controlar y administrar las ciudades que pudo controlar, sobre todo Mósul, los rebeldes marcharon rápidamente hacia el sur dejando la administración de las ciudades que iban liberando en manos de las tribus locales.

A pesar de la proclamación del califato a bombo y platillo la realidad es que más allá de Mosul y Tal Afar la presencia del EI en ciudades importantes como Tikrit, Ramadi o Faluya si bien es real es minoritaria y actúan de forma independiente de las fuerzas revolucionarias que marchan hacia Bagdad.

Pero la importante capacidad de financiación del EI y la falta de apoyo internacional a los rebeldes les han debilitado de sobremanera y les ha colocado en una situación crítica al negarse a luchar bajo la bandera negra del califato islámico quedando a merced de los ataques tanto del mismo Estado Islámico como del ejército iraquí y de los bombardeos estadounidenses que no distinguen entre rebeldes y EI. La consecuente pérdida de terreno de los rebeldes no se ha tranformado en una recuperación de ciudades por parte del gobierno de Bagdad sino por una expansión del Estado Islámico, como se puede ver en el mapa adjunto:


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